Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031770 0.034859 0.037997 0.041416 0.045030 0.048731 0.052800
2025-08-24 0.026325 0.030780 0.035485 0.040798 0.046607 0.052739 0.059678
2025-08-31 0.023396 0.028920 0.034953 0.041971 0.049851 0.058372 0.068225
2025-09-07 0.020908 0.027215 0.034315 0.042793 0.052534 0.063280 0.075930
2025-09-14 0.018732 0.025606 0.033568 0.043303 0.054719 0.067531 0.082843
2025-09-21 0.016735 0.023996 0.032639 0.043442 0.056349 0.071060 0.088878
2025-09-28 0.015601 0.023316 0.032717 0.044685 0.059205 0.075961 0.096474
2025-10-05 0.013766 0.021585 0.031367 0.044081 0.059763 0.078105 0.100813
2025-10-12 0.012461 0.020426 0.030634 0.044146 0.061057 0.081066 0.106076
2025-10-19 0.011527 0.019679 0.030359 0.044726 0.062937 0.084699 0.112122
2025-10-26 0.010836 0.019208 0.030396 0.045665 0.065237 0.088827 0.118764
2025-11-02 0.009259 0.017350 0.028479 0.043985 0.064171 0.088796 0.120349
2025-11-09 0.008232 0.016231 0.027525 0.043547 0.064690 0.090745 0.124404
2025-11-16 0.007298 0.015173 0.026593 0.043088 0.065147 0.092600 0.128344
2025-11-23 0.006979 0.015049 0.026967 0.044391 0.067896 0.097338 0.135865
2025-11-30 0.006569 0.014744 0.027055 0.045286 0.070106 0.101405 0.142575
2025-12-07 0.006101 0.014300 0.026910 0.045836 0.071848 0.104878 0.148559
2025-12-14 0.005573 0.013706 0.026504 0.045990 0.073044 0.107647 0.153665
2025-12-21 0.005364 0.013652 0.026905 0.047286 0.075778 0.112399 0.161284
2025-12-28 0.004732 0.012777 0.025994 0.046661 0.075881 0.113742 0.164590
2026-01-04 0.004307 0.012241 0.025580 0.046730 0.076912 0.116276 0.169406
2026-01-11 0.004026 0.011952 0.025541 0.047333 0.078669 0.119756 0.175433
2026-01-18 0.003836 0.011827 0.025755 0.048307 0.080943 0.123922 0.182354